Four year cycle lows are not an exact science.
Sometimes it’s a little earlier than normal, sometimes a little later.
The idea that the 4 year cycle “failed” despite Bitcoin dropping below the 200W moving average in H2 of the midterm year seems wrong.
The SPX would often bottom in October, but occasionally it would occur earlier (May) and sometimes later (December)
With Bitcoin, the winning strategy has typically been to just DCA in the second half of the midterm year rather than try and time the exact bottom (something I have reiterated multiple times).
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